Adopting expansive postures causes hormonal changes (lower cortisol / higher testosterone) and increased risk tolerance
Weak-link patterns
Brief §8's named failure modes, computed from this claim's own paper roles and status -- not a single weakness score. Patterns B and E aren't implemented yet (need dependency-graph machinery, docs/BASIC_ROADMAP.md Phase 11).
No pattern fires on this claim.
Evidence map
Position shows direction, circle area shows citation count. Click a paper for the reason its role was assigned.
Evidence dimensions
Eight independent 0–5 judgments, each with a written rationale. Deliberately never summed into one score.
Original result rests on one small-sample (n=42) study; larger independent tests have not supported the core hormonal/behavioral claim.
Multiple independent groups have tried.
The two independent direct replications found null results on the original hormonal/behavioral claim.
Both independent replications sit in the original experimental paradigm; no materially different design has tested it.
Why this status
The derivation rule, evaluated top to bottom, first match wins. This is the rule itself — not a confidence score standing in for one.
- 1Unknown — unexplored
4 paper rows (needs <3) and evidence_strength=1 (needs <=1); both required
- 2Unknown — conflicting evidence
(a) 2 failure vs 0 success rows -> no; (b) 1 review rows — opposite-verdict test is a human judgment, not a count; (c) 0 conceptual failure vs 0 conceptual success, 1 original -> no
- 3Unknown — underdetermined
alternative_explanations=1 (needs <=1) AND evidence_strength=1 (needs >=3)
- 4Established
independent_replication=1 (>=4), evidence_strength=1 (>=4), consensus=1 (>=4)
- 5Strong, domain-limited
evidence_strength=1 (>=4) AND independent_replication=1 (>=3), plus a written scope limit (human judgment)
- 6
Recorded rationale
v3 rule 9: a non-theoretical row exists and independent_replication = 1 (<= 1). Rule 2 does not fire - only one review row, and replication counts are 2 failures vs 0 successes. Naive citation-only guess was 'established'; divergence material. Pilot 1.